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NEWS STORY


About Space
Mike Burton and other agency officials take issue with last week's cover story.

BY NICK BUDNICK
nbudnick@wweek.com


Read the full text of Mike Burton's letter to WW and two other online responses to the article.

"He says he's going to sue you. He says you've got a bad reputation. He says your facts are just wrong. So tell me, what's your response?"

That was Ervin Flick, an outraged taxpayer calling our offices last week to relate his conversation with Mike Burton, Metro's elected executive. Flick had read WW's cover story raising questions about purchases made by Metro's greenspace program ("Green Acres," WW, Feb. 2, 2000) and called Burton to urge him to resign.

Interestingly, Burton began discounting the cover story even before it hit the streets. On Jan. 31, he sent an e-mail alerting Metro employees to the imminent publication of the article. "Inaccurate story on open spaces in this week's Willamette Week," it said. "From the questions the reporter and editor asked our staff and others, it's clear the basis for the story is way off the mark."

The day the article appeared, Metro posted a rebuttal on its Web site presenting "14 facts" about the greenspace program and its explanation for three of the transactions detailed by WW.

The next day, Metro officials sharpened their attack. Internally, buttons and posters were distributed at Metro's offices on 600 NE Grand Ave., proclaiming, "Willamette Week is Yesterday's News. Open Spaces are Forever." Burton, for his part, posted a letter to WW on Metro's Web site, saying the examples of transactions used in the article were "oversimplified and distorted."

Council member David Bragdon, Metro's presiding officer, shared some of Burton's criticism, saying the article was "probably about four years too late and pretty exaggerated."

"I understand there may have been some problems when they were first starting out," Bragdon said, "but I think it's a program that's very well run. All the examples that you gave have been explained very justifiably to me by the staff."

Others were not so harsh. Former Gresham Mayor Gussie McRoberts, while noting that her experience with Metro's greenspace program was positive, left WW a voicemail calling it an "excellent article" and saying, "I thought it was terrific."

Of all the critics, Burton was the most specific. "You 'cherry picked' the highlighted transactions and then misrepresented and omitted facts that we provided to your reporter," he wrote in his letter. Of the six specific purchases WW mentioned in its article, Burton responded to two:

"The article reports that the Canemah Bluff property was acquired for $713,000 and sold to Metro for $2.85 million 18 months later," he wrote. "Omitted is the critical fact that, during the interim, the owner was able to secure approval for a 136-lot subdivision. Obviously, this land-use decision increases the value of the land considerably."

Burton is correct that the subdivision approval boosted the value of the land. However, it did so by only $4,500 per lot, or $612,000 total, according to the Metro appraisal. In other words, the subdivision approval explains less than one-third of the $2.13 million difference between Metro's price and what the seller, Don Oakley, paid 18 months earlier.

Burton also says that WW ignored "the independent appraisal that concluded the property's value to be $3 million...." That appraisal, however, considered 41 acres of land, not the 39 Metro ended up buying.

Burton didn't address the fact, cited in the article, that Oakley submitted detailed calculations to Metro to justify what he asserted the property would be worth after it was approved and fully developed. That figure was $2.284 million--$716,000 less than Metro's appraisal figure.

The second purchase that Burton defended was 148 acres along Multnomah Channel. Charles and Connie Hegele bought it for $300,000 in 1993 and sold it to Metro for $750,000 four years later.

"Conveniently missing from your so-called thorough five-week review," wrote Burton, "is any mention of the seller's appraisal that came in at $1.16 million and the two documented competing offers for $800,000 each."

Indeed, the sellers had their own appraisal done, but two other appraisers looking at the same land, one for Metro and one for the Nature Conservancy, valued the land for much less. To justify their asking price, the Hegeles also cited two identical offers that were tendered in the midst of negotiations with Metro. Appraisers, however, are typically suspicious of such offers and discount their import. In fact, the Metro appraiser's final value of $650,000 specifically took the offers into account and used them to raise the appraisal only $50,000 from his original conclusion.

Metro's Web posting took issue with a third transaction reported by WW. In that case Metro hired an appraiser to look at 3.3 acres owned by Nicky Miller and Rob Norvich in a city environmental-protection zone that banned development. After consulting with city planner Duncan Brown, the appraiser concluded that the zone could be lifted and valued the property at $37,000, assuming a potential for one homesite.

The seller, however, wanted more, and Metro's appraiser was directed to redo the appraisal on the basis of a letter Brown wrote after meeting with Metro staff and a deputy city attorney. The Metro Web posting characterized Brown's letter as saying "the city would be likely to approve the development of anywhere from 3-12 new housing units on the site."

The planner's letter, however, does not say this. It says the city "may consider changing all or a portion of the EP Overlay," which would open the door to three home sites. But that change would not necessarily pave the way for 12 homesites, as Metro implies. As Metro's own memos and appraisals show, getting any more than three homes built would require city approval of a subdivision application, a dicey proposition because of opposition of neighbors and environmentalists.

In addition to defending some of the purchases WW questioned, Burton, in his Feb. 3 letter, wrote that the article omitted "information about the appraisal process, how it works and how different appraisers can reach different conclusions even when both are ethical professionals."

It's true that appraisers can legitimately disagree on value. Such disagreements often occur when appraisers approach situations of uncertainty with different assumptions that either boost or lower value (for example, whether a local government will allow or deny development). Under professional standards, these are supposed to be highlighted in the appraisal, so any buyer or seller reading the report can adjust the price based on their belief as to whether the assumption is valid.

In documents reviewed by WW, however, Metro does not adjust its price for uncertainty. Instead, officials frequently employed assumptions that favored the seller, in some cases at the specific direction of Metro, ignoring the buyer's risk that such assumptions might not be borne out. By contrast, many appraisers take risk and uncertainty into account, since in the real world that's what most buyers do.

"Risk factors are a big factor in doing the analysis of a property," said Roger Hanna, a Portland appraiser who has worked for Metro and other public agencies, when asked about an appraisal he did of land near Beaverton that may be acquired using Metro funds. "I think it would be a mistake for appraisers to ignore what I describe as market risk--and the reason I say that is because I think most developers don't ignore market risks."

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Willamette Week | originally published February 9, 2000

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