When Nate Silver Thinks Gay Marriage Could Happen in Oregon

Political prognosticator extraordinaire Nate Silver has turned his forecasting skills to predict when voters in each of the 50 states would reject a ban on gay marriage.

And Silver's take on Oregon based on all his data is that it could be aligned to happen this year — an interesting conclusion given that backers of gay marriage are aiming instead at 2012 to reverse the "one man, one woman" approach to marriage that Oregon voters passed in 2004 with Measure 36.