Amid all the gloomy news around Oregon's projected $3.1 billion state budget gap, there is potentially a bright side for liberals who have fought for years to reform how the state deals with criminals.
Those advocates for judicial reform are pitted against the state's district attorneys in a high-stakes debate on how best to cut the state's $1.6 billion biennial prison bill.
At the same time the state is considering releasing potentially thousands of prisoners, advocates are using the budget maw to push a rewrite of some of the controversial minimum sentences set when state voters passed Measure 11 in 1994.
With each prisoner costing the state $78 a day, sentencing reforms that in past years have died a quiet death in Salem now have new life. At the center of that revival is Rep. Chip Shields (D-North Portland), a point man on public safety in the House Ways and Means Committee.
Before he was elected to the Oregon House in 2004, Shields worked as a volunteer to pass Measure 94, a failed effort in 2000 to overturn Measure 11.
Now he's leading the effort in Salem to reshape the state's strategy on fighting crime—one he and others say puts too much emphasis on incarceration.
Along with such allies as Sen. Jackie Dingfelder (D-Northeast Portland) and Rep. Mitch Greenlick (D-Northwest Portland), Shields is fighting to gut Measure 11 from the inside out. And the need for massive prison cuts has provided a rare opportunity.
"The budget crisis forces us to get serious about solutions," Shields says. "It has definitely forced us to deal with this in the short term. The question is if we will also have the courage to balance things out in the long term."
That's where the Oregon District Attorneys Association comes in.
Given the state's dire budget projections, the DAs reluctantly agree with the need to release prisoners. The issue is who should get out.
Asked to cut up to 30 percent of its budget, the Oregon Department of Corrections has floated a plan to close 10 of the state's 14 prisons and free 4,100 of 13,800 inmates. In the end, the Legislature and Gov. Ted Kulongoski will decide how many people get released, and who they are.
The DAs resist freeing violent criminals sentenced under Measure 11. But Shields and his allies say some Measure 11 convicts should get consideration.
As the DAs are quick to point out, releasing prisoners will probably mean an uptick in crime. But their opponents say that won't necessarily happen, and that investing in treatment and community corrections can help any increase.
The larger fight is over Measure 11 sentences—the DAs are adamant they shouldn't be changed just to save money. Faced with the need to reduce prison populations, they prefer to do so by releasing prisoners early out the back door now, rather than admitting fewer through the front gate in the future.
"Let's stick with a one-time event for what hopefully is a one-time problem, rather than an unprecedented change in our sentencing structure that will be very hard to reverse," says Kevin Neely, lobbyist for the district attorneys association.
It's a battle the DAs aren't used to waging—in the past, almost any attempt to change Measure 11 that they didn't support was dead on arrival in Salem. With Democrats enjoying large majorities in the House and Senate, that's no longer the case.
The DAs are using the debate to correct what they call a widespread myth: that all Measure 11 sentences are mandatory. In fact, due to past reforms in the Legislature, judges often have leeway in sentencing and can even give probation in some cases if the defendant qualifies.
Nonetheless, Clatsop County DA Josh Marquis says he now expects a "wholesale attack on Measure 11 as a means of reducing the cost of corrections."
What Shields and his allies have introduced so far falls short of that. They're sponsoring bills, all opposed by the DAs, that would:
- Make courts inform juries of mandatory minimums.
- Reduce sentences for some crimes such as second-degree assault and second-degree robbery, but increase sentences for more serious offenses like first-degree rape.
- Give judges power to release juvenile offenders who were tried as adults after they complete half their sentence.
Matters were further complicated by Measure 57, which state voters approved last fall. The measure stiffened sentences and mandated treatment for some drug and property crimes. But some lawmakers say there's no way the state can afford to do that. They want to repeal or delay Measure 57. The Oregon Criminal Justice Commission puts Measure 57's price tag at about $150 million for the biennium, but some DAs believe that estimate is too high.
Also in the mix is a bill from Dingfelder that would make all Measure 11 sentences discretionary. Neely says its success seems unlikely. However, advocates are still pushing for widespread reforms in the coming weeks.
"We'd like to see efforts that take a broader approach at Measure 11 reform, rather than just doing it piecemeal," says David Rogers, head of the Portland-based Partnership for Safety and Justice.
But DAs insist Measure 11 helped reduce violent crime in the state by half.
"You are substantially safer in Oregon," says Neely, "because of Measure 11."
Oregon spends a higher portion of its general fund on corrections than any other state—10.9 percent in 2007, according to the Pew Center.
WWeek 2015